Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-3
Real Oviedo vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.76
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
3.1%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
9.8%
7.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SPO
1 - 4
OVI
38%
21%
41%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
6 - 0
HER
69%
16%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ZAR
3 - 0
OVI
39%
21%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 3
VCF
61%
18%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SPO
1 - 4
OVI
38%
21%
41%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAC
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
RAC
0 - 4
SPO
26%
20%
54%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
SPO
13 - 0
AVI
81%
12%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
AVI
1 - 6
SPO
26%
21%
54%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |