Real Oviedo vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
BAR
2 - 4
OVI
58%
21%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
GIM
1 - 1
OVI
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
OVI
5 - 1
CAU
72%
16%
13%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ALA
0 - 2
OVI
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
OVI
2 - 0
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
SGL
1 - 1
OSA
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
SGL
2 - 1
BAD
51%
21%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
LLE
2 - 0
SGL
78%
12%
10%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
SGL
0 - 0
RCF
45%
22%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SGL
2 - 0
ORE
47%
22%
31%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |