Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-7
Real Oviedo vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
SEV
4 - 1
OVI
41%
22%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
RUN
2 - 2
OVI
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
OVI
5 - 1
ATM
61%
17%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 2
OVI
43%
21%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
OVI
7 - 1
OSA
65%
17%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
SEV
4 - 1
OVI
41%
22%
36%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 1
DEP
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
OSA
4 - 0
SEV
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 2
OVI
43%
21%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
MUR
3 - 2
SEV
60%
21%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |