Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-2
Real Oviedo vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
OVI
2 - 0
FCB
21%
28%
50%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
MLL
2 - 2
OVI
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
RMC
2 - 1
OVI
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
OVI
1 - 1
CAS
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
OVI
0 - 3
ATH
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMC
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
RMC
0 - 0
FIG
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
RMC
2 - 1
OVI
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
RBU
3 - 0
RMC
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
CAS
6 - 0
RMC
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -2 |