Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-5
Real Oviedo vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
BUR
2 - 3
OVI
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
OVI
2 - 0
LLE
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VAD
1 - 1
OVI
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
CEL
0 - 2
OVI
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
OVI
2 - 0
RAC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
VAL
0 - 2
REC
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
REC
1 - 1
CEU
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
REC
0 - 1
ATH
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
ATH
3 - 0
REC
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |