Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-9
Real Oviedo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
ZAR
6 - 0
OVI
85%
10%
6%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
OVI
4 - 2
ONT
78%
14%
9%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ONT
1 - 1
OVI
28%
25%
46%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
RMA
1 - 0
OVI
89%
7%
4%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OVI
1 - 0
ELC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
ZAR
6 - 0
OVI
85%
10%
6%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 2
MLL
87%
9%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 1
LIE
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
MLL
0 - 2
ZAR
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VCF
4 - 0
ZAR
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |