Real Oviedo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
JUV
2 - 1
OVI
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
OVI
4 - 0
SSC
83%
11%
6%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
BAR
2 - 1
OVI
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1954 |
OVI
1 - 0
AVI
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
OVI
5 - 1
LOG
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ZAR
4 - 0
LLE
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
OSA
3 - 1
ZAR
73%
15%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ZAR
4 - 1
RCF
77%
14%
10%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1954 |
CDC
1 - 2
ZAR
62%
19%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ZAR
2 - 4
CUL
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |