Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Real Oviedo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
OVI
4 - 1
CAS
73%
15%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
OVI
3 - 0
ATH
45%
23%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
MUR
0 - 0
OVI
30%
23%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
OVI
3 - 1
DEP
77%
14%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ZAR
3 - 0
HER
54%
21%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
LEV
1 - 0
ZAR
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
ZAR
5 - 1
MLL
57%
21%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
BET
1 - 0
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RSO
46%
22%
32%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |