Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-0
Real Oviedo vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
RUN
0 - 2
OVI
42%
30%
28%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
OVI
3 - 2
ENS
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SPB
0 - 0
OVI
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CFP
1 - 1
OVI
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
OVI
0 - 1
ATB
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPB
53%
27%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEN
72%
19%
8%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SPB
0 - 0
OVI
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAC
1 - 0
SPB
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 1
GIN
62%
24%
14%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |