Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-4
Real Oviedo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
11.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 0
OVI
36%
23%
42%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
OVI
4 - 1
DEP
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
CUL
0 - 4
OVI
20%
21%
59%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
RMA
2 - 0
OVI
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
OVI
6 - 2
GIM
65%
18%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 0
OVI
36%
23%
42%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
5 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
3 - 0
LEV
41%
22%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 3
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 1
MLL
56%
22%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |