Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-4
Real Oviedo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.3%
8.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
RAC
3 - 0
OVI
29%
21%
50%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
OVI
8 - 1
RAC
86%
8%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
2 - 2
OVI
69%
16%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
OVI
4 - 2
DEP
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
35%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
65%
17%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
MUR
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |