Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-4
Real Oviedo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
MUR
2 - 1
OVI
51%
21%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
EUR
2 - 0
OVI
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
OVI
4 - 0
EUR
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ISC
4 - 1
OVI
51%
21%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
SPO
1 - 3
OVI
55%
19%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
MUR
2 - 1
OVI
51%
21%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
DBN
0 - 5
MUR
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
MUR
10 - 0
DBN
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
MUR
3 - 4
LEO
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
VCF
4 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |