Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1957 |
LOG
2 - 1
OVI
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
OVI
1 - 1
SAB
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
1 - 3
OVI
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
OVI
4 - 2
GIR
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
OVI
3 - 4
AVI
77%
14%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1957 |
RAY
3 - 1
AVI
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
CUL
2 - 3
RAY
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
RAY
1 - 2
LLE
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
EIB
1 - 0
RAY
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
RAY
0 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |