Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 8-4
Real Oviedo vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.91
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.3%
5.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
2 - 2
OVI
69%
16%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
OVI
4 - 2
DEP
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
FCB
3 - 1
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
OVI
2 - 1
VCF
50%
20%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 1
OVI
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
TAN
3 - 3
RAC
14%
17%
69%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
RAC
11 - 2
RAC
88%
8%
4%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
BAR
3 - 4
RAC
16%
17%
67%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
RAC
0 - 1
ORI
86%
9%
5%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
BUR
2 - 2
RAC
34%
21%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |