Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
Real Oviedo vs Ontinyent CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
ONT
1 - 1
OVI
28%
25%
46%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
RMA
1 - 0
OVI
89%
7%
4%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OVI
1 - 0
ELC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ATH
0 - 1
OVI
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
VAD
2 - 1
OVI
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
ONT
1 - 1
OVI
28%
25%
46%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ONT
5 - 1
CDT
37%
31%
33%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ONT
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ONT
1 - 0
GRA
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
CEU
1 - 0
ONT
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |