Real Oviedo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1950 |
UES
3 - 3
OVI
54%
22%
25%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
OVI
5 - 1
SAB
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
RCF
1 - 1
OVI
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
OVI
2 - 2
SGL
71%
16%
14%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
BAD
1 - 0
OVI
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
NUM
1 - 1
LOG
67%
17%
16%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
OSA
2 - 0
NUM
70%
16%
14%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
NUM
4 - 1
GIM
45%
23%
33%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
ZAR
2 - 1
NUM
85%
10%
6%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
NUM
5 - 2
ORE
67%
17%
16%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |