Real Oviedo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
OVI
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
OVI
0 - 1
ALB
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
UDL
0 - 0
OVI
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 1
OVI
44%
28%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 0
OVI
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
ESP
21%
27%
53%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
LEG
3 - 2
LUG
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 0
CDT
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
SAB
1 - 1
LUG
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 1
LUG
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |