Real Oviedo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
OVI
1 - 1
SLA
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 2
OVI
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 3
OVI
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
OVI
0 - 3
CDT
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LEG
3 - 2
OVI
48%
27%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 3
OVI
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
ROD
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 4
LUG
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 2
DEP
16%
27%
57%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 1
ALC
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |