Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-1
Real Oviedo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
ATB
1 - 1
OVI
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
LUG
1 - 1
OVI
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
OVI
1 - 0
FCB
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
GRA
3 - 0
OVI
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
OVI
3 - 1
AVI
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
BAR
1 - 1
LUG
36%
28%
36%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
LUG
1 - 1
OVI
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
LUG
3 - 2
ARE
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
EUM
0 - 2
LUG
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
LUG
2 - 0
COM
30%
30%
40%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | +8 |