Real Oviedo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
SSC
2 - 1
OVI
40%
30%
31%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
OVI
0 - 2
ATH
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
UPL
1 - 1
OVI
31%
32%
37%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
OVI
3 - 0
SAN
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
OVI
3 - 0
CDT
62%
23%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
PEG
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
CDO
2 - 4
LUG
68%
22%
11%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
PON
47%
30%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
DEP
2 - 1
LUG
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
LUG
2 - 3
TRJ
48%
29%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |