Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-0
Real Oviedo vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
OVI
0 - 0
VCF
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
MAL
4 - 0
OVI
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
0 - 1
OVI
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
OVI
0 - 1
DEP
33%
29%
38%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 1
OVI
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MUR
1 - 0
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
HOS
2 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
0 - 1
OVI
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
2 - 1
GIM
42%
27%
32%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |