Europa League 1/32
Global 2-3
Real Oviedo vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
OVI
2 - 0
RSO
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ESP
0 - 1
OVI
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
OVI
0 - 0
MLL
53%
27%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
OVI
3 - 0
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
FCB
0 - 0
OVI
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASC
65%
22%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
FIO
3 - 1
GEN
57%
26%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
GEN
2 - 1
TAR
78%
15%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
GEN
2 - 0
USC
69%
21%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |