Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-3
Real Oviedo vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
DEP
1 - 0
OVI
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
FCB
7 - 1
OVI
92%
6%
3%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
OVI
4 - 1
ZAR
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
BET
2 - 0
OVI
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
OVI
1 - 3
OSA
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
DEP
1 - 0
OVI
50%
22%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
DEP
2 - 3
SAB
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEP
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1959 |
CDC
3 - 0
DEP
55%
22%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
DEP
4 - 0
SSC
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |