Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Real Oviedo vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
OVI
0 - 1
BET
56%
21%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
BET
3 - 1
OVI
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
OVI
6 - 1
BAR
78%
14%
9%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
OVI
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
FCB
3 - 5
OVI
92%
6%
3%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
CEL
2 - 1
RSO
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
RSO
4 - 1
CEL
70%
17%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
CUL
2 - 0
CEL
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CEL
1 - 1
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CDO
2 - 0
CEL
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |