Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-1
Real Oviedo vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
CEL
1 - 1
OVI
77%
12%
10%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
MAL
2 - 1
OVI
56%
19%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OVI
1 - 3
ATM
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
RCF
0 - 2
OVI
32%
22%
46%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
VCF
2 - 1
OVI
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
CEL
1 - 1
OVI
77%
12%
10%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
CEL
0 - 1
RSO
67%
16%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
FCB
2 - 1
CEL
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
CEL
2 - 3
DEP
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
SEV
4 - 3
CEL
60%
19%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |