Real Oviedo vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.1%
11.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 0
OVI
50%
22%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
OVI
3 - 0
CAS
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ATM
1 - 2
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
OVI
2 - 0
GRA
73%
14%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
OVI
5 - 1
SEV
52%
20%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
RSO
1 - 1
CEL
57%
19%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
CEL
0 - 1
ESP
50%
21%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
CAS
2 - 0
CEL
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CEL
1 - 2
ATM
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
CEL
0 - 1
GRA
60%
18%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |