Real Oviedo vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.9%
11.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
OVI
0 - 4
SEV
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 0
OVI
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
OVI
5 - 4
OSA
76%
13%
11%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
OSA
5 - 1
OVI
48%
20%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
OVI
4 - 3
VCF
70%
15%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
CEL
7 - 1
ESP
43%
21%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 4
CEL
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 2
CEL
73%
14%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
CEL
1 - 3
ESP
55%
19%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
CEL
7 - 1
ROB
92%
6%
3%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |