Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-4
Real Oviedo vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
11%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
OVI
1 - 1
RSO
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
RSO
0 - 3
OVI
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1963 |
ATM
0 - 0
OVI
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
OVI
5 - 1
SEV
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
VCF
5 - 0
OVI
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALA
70%
16%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 0
MAL
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
OSA
3 - 0
MAL
75%
15%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
MAL
1 - 0
CCF
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ZAR
4 - 0
MAL
84%
11%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |