Real Oviedo vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ATM
1 - 2
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
OVI
2 - 0
GRA
73%
14%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
OVI
5 - 1
SEV
52%
20%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
DEP
1 - 0
OVI
42%
22%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
OVI
3 - 3
FCB
45%
21%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
CAS
2 - 0
CEL
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAS
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 0
RSO
61%
18%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
CAS
0 - 2
GRA
61%
19%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |