Real Oviedo vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
RUN
3 - 1
OVI
58%
26%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
OVI
2 - 3
RSO
34%
29%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
EIB
3 - 0
OVI
72%
21%
7%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
OVI
0 - 0
CFP
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 1
OVI
43%
28%
30%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ALF
1 - 2
AMU
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SES
3 - 2
ALF
55%
26%
20%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ALF
2 - 2
BAR
31%
30%
39%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ATH
0 - 2
ALF
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ALF
3 - 2
ZAM
25%
28%
47%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |