Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-1
Real Oviedo vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
PUE
0 - 0
OVI
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
OVI
2 - 1
RCF
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
CFC
0 - 0
OVI
33%
25%
43%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ATH
1 - 0
OVI
34%
29%
38%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
OVI
1 - 0
SLA
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
RCF
5 - 1
BUR
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATH
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
SLA
0 - 0
BUR
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 2
CAS
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1970 |
LUG
0 - 3
BUR
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |