Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-4
Real Oviedo vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1961 |
BET
3 - 1
OVI
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
OVI
6 - 1
BAR
78%
14%
9%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
OVI
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
FCB
3 - 5
OVI
92%
6%
3%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
OVI
2 - 0
ATH
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1961 |
BET
3 - 1
OVI
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
MUR
1 - 2
BET
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
BET
1 - 0
MUR
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
BET
1 - 1
ZAR
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
RMA
4 - 0
BET
94%
5%
2%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |