Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-9
Real Oviedo vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
FCB
7 - 3
OVI
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
OVI
6 - 0
RUD
85%
9%
5%
|
71 | 20 | 51 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
OVI
5 - 3
LEO
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
RAC
1 - 5
OVI
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
CEL
7 - 2
OVI
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
FCB
7 - 3
OVI
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
RUN
2 - 3
FCB
37%
23%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
FCB
7 - 0
PAT
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
FCB
2 - 2
EUR
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
RSO
5 - 4
FCB
39%
23%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |