Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-6
Real Oviedo vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1953 |
BAR
4 - 2
OVI
48%
22%
31%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
MAL
4 - 2
OVI
67%
17%
15%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
OVI
2 - 4
SPO
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
OVI
3 - 3
DEP
59%
19%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ATH
3 - 3
OVI
87%
8%
5%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1953 |
BAR
4 - 2
OVI
48%
22%
31%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
BAR
1 - 0
GIM
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ALA
2 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
BAR
4 - 0
BUR
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
RCF
2 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |