Real Oviedo vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
LEV
0 - 0
OVI
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
OVI
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
OVI
4 - 1
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1964 |
OVI
3 - 3
ZAR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
ZAR
6 - 0
OVI
85%
10%
6%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ATH
2 - 1
ELC
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
ATH
2 - 2
BEO
75%
15%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATH
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ATH
1 - 1
CEL
84%
11%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ELC
1 - 2
ATH
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |