Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-13
Real Oviedo vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
ATH
8 - 2
OVI
80%
11%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
OVI
1 - 0
CEL
53%
20%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
CEL
1 - 1
OVI
77%
12%
10%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
MAL
2 - 1
OVI
56%
19%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OVI
1 - 3
ATM
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
ATH
8 - 2
OVI
80%
11%
9%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
ESP
1 - 1
ATH
47%
20%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
82%
11%
8%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
ATH
2 - 2
DEP
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SEV
5 - 3
ATH
54%
20%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |