Real Oviedo vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
SLA
1 - 1
OVI
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
OVI
4 - 1
BUR
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
CAS
1 - 0
OVI
38%
27%
34%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ELC
1 - 1
OVI
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
OVI
1 - 0
MUR
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
ATH
1 - 1
ELC
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
MUR
2 - 1
ATH
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
21%
30%
49%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
CDO
1 - 1
ATH
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ATH
1 - 1
RAY
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |