Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-2
Real Oviedo vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
LEA
0 - 2
OVI
15%
24%
61%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
OVI
1 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
AST
2 - 1
OVI
16%
25%
59%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 1
OVI
14%
24%
62%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
OVI
3 - 2
NAI
83%
13%
5%
|
69 | 18 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MIR
0 - 2
AMU
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AMU
1 - 0
ALF
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
RUN
1 - 1
AMU
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
AMU
2 - 0
GIM
52%
27%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CDO
3 - 3
AMU
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |