Real Oviedo vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ESP
1 - 2
OVI
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
SPO
1 - 0
OVI
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 1
SEV
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
CAS
1 - 1
OVI
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 0
CEL
73%
14%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ALC
1 - 0
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ALC
1 - 2
VCF
28%
23%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALC
90%
7%
4%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
ALC
3 - 1
ATM
24%
21%
55%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
ALC
1 - 3
RMA
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |