Real Oviedo Vetusta vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo Vetusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AVI
3 - 0
ROB
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ROB
1 - 2
LEN
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 0
ROB
30%
26%
44%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ROB
0 - 4
PRA
41%
27%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
ROB
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 0
LUA
56%
22%
21%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LUA
0 - 0
PRA
19%
25%
56%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CUD
3 - 1
LUA
63%
22%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LUA
0 - 0
TAP
41%
27%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 0
LUA
70%
18%
11%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |