Real Oviedo Vetusta vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo Vetusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UPL
1 - 1
ROB
67%
21%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ROB
2 - 1
TIN
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
ROB
13%
20%
66%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ROB
4 - 3
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
ROB
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
ROC
64%
22%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 1
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
AST
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
URR
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |