Real Noroeste vs Vilavelhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REA
1 - 2
RVV
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
REA
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
REA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
REA
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
BRA
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vilavelhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VFC
1 - 1
JAG
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RVV
1 - 1
VFC
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DES
3 - 0
VFC
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 3
SER
22%
22%
57%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
VFC
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |