Real Noroeste vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
REA
2 - 0
NOV
44%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 0
REA
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
POR
5 - 2
REA
48%
28%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
REA
3 - 1
NVE
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NVE
0 - 0
REA
55%
21%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
REA
1 - 0
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
REA
31%
24%
46%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 3
SER
22%
22%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |