Capixaba Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Real Noroeste vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 0
REA
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 2
REA
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
AGU
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
REA
1 - 2
LTD
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
URO
2 - 0
REA
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 2
REA
30%
22%
48%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
EST
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DES
2 - 0
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RVV
5 - 1
SER
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |