Real Noroeste vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 2
REA
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
REA
2 - 2
ECT
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
DES
0 - 2
REA
21%
24%
56%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
REA
4 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RVV
2 - 1
REA
25%
22%
54%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
6 - 1
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
46%
23%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 0
EST
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ECT
0 - 3
RIO
9%
16%
75%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |