Real Noroeste vs Pouso Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
REA
42%
23%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
REA
17%
26%
58%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
NVE
35%
24%
42%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
INT
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 1
INT
36%
28%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 0
URT
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
POA
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
POA
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POA
0 - 0
FER
33%
31%
36%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |