Real Noroeste vs Porto Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NVE
0 - 1
REA
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
DES
68%
20%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
REA
25%
22%
53%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
REA
4 - 0
ITA
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
REA
61%
23%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Porto Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
10 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 3
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
VIT
5%
12%
83%
|
8 | 55 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 2
POR
86%
11%
3%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | +1 |