Real Noroeste vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
INT
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
DES
1 - 0
REA
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 1
REA
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
LIN
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
URT
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
NVE
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
INT
0 - 1
FER
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POA
0 - 0
FER
33%
31%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
CAL
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
FER
20%
29%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |