Real Noroeste vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
23.8%
65.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
19.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
REA
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RVV
1 - 1
REA
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
REA
5 - 1
SER
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
NVE
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 3
REA
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 2
CUI
7%
19%
74%
|
86 | 36 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CUI
3 - 0
AAC
94%
5%
1%
|
86 | 26 | 60 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 1
URO
88%
10%
3%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 2
CUI
12%
24%
63%
|
87 | 35 | 52 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
LUV
1 - 2
CUI
13%
25%
62%
|
87 | 46 | 41 | 0 |