Real Noroeste vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
REA
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
POA
2 - 1
REA
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
REA
0 - 2
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
REA
3 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
REA
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
INT
26%
29%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 0
CAL
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATH
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
ATM
7%
18%
75%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | 0 |